Saturday, July 25, 2015

Analyzing Statistical "Hotspots" with GIS

Using GIS to identify and locate “hotspots,” or areas with statistically significant amounts of various phenomena, is both intuitive and useful, given its powerful ability to both analyze and visually display this kind of information.  Martino, et al. (2014) use GIS to this end to explore locational patterns and statistical algorithms employed in the analysis of brain cancer in “Spatio-temporalhotspots and application on a disease analysis case via GIS.”  With this research the authors sought to identify locations with statistically significant proportions of brain cancer incidence in New Mexico, with further consideration of temporal factors, for the years 1973 to 1991.  The data used for the research was a collection of 5,000 point locations of cancer incidence for the indicated time period, with the enumeration units as the counties that compose the state of New Mexico.  The authors’ examination focused on a comparison of two methods of cluster analysis- the Extended Fuzzy C Means (EFCM) and the Extended Gustafson-Kessel (EGK) algorithms- employed within the GIS environment.  The EFCM algorithm they used employs a circular shaped hotspot area, determined by the patterns of point event clusters across space, and makes a temporal comparison for a specified period of time.  The EGK method is an analogous procedure which produced very similar results, but employs an ellipsoid shaped hotspot area, and uses a different variation of membership calculation within one if its formulas.  Analysis of the results of this research lead the authors to conclude that both algorithms, used within a GIS, are equally effective in predicting the spatial area of the diffusion of this disease, and may be of use in larger-scale studies seeking to identify temporal and/or spatial determinants within a specified study area.        


Reference
Martino, F., Sessa, S., Barillari, U. S., & Barillari, M. R. (2014). Spatio-temporal hotspots and application on a disease analysis case via GIS. Soft Computing - A Fusion Of Foundations, Methodologies And Applications, (12), 2377.
http://dl.acm.org/citation.cfm?id=2689536

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